In-person @ the NPD: Making good decisions under subsurface uncertainty: How difficult can it be?


The FORCE IRM group invite you to this 2-day-seminar on 6-7 February 2024. It aims to gather subsurface practitioners for open discussions on uncertainty and its implementation in our industry.

Date Time Duration Register by Location
6-7 Feb 2024 09:00 2 Days 31 Jan 2024 Valhall - Ptil


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Are we good enough at incorporating subsurface uncertainty when making decisions? What should we be doing to improve? Where are we in 2024, and where are we heading?

The following areas will be addressed:

  • Understand the impact of human biases and how they affect uncertainty evaluation
  • What can we do to avoid biases and improve uncertainty elicitation?
  • Communicating uncertainty: Good practices and use cases
  • Understanding our data: Limitations, pit-falls and established truths. What is hard data?
  • In what instances do we need deterministic model(s) in addition to ensembles? How have you handled using both?


We would like to invite thought provoking contributions on the above topics including general reflections or specific case histories.


Nomination deadline:  1st November 2023

Please provide a provisional talk title and some bullets on your chosen topic in your nomination
Talk length: 20min + 10min for questions (possibility for longer talks, please let us know if you require more time).


Please send any suggestions for talks to Sophie Haseldonckx

Organizing Committee:

  • Chris Townsend
  • Per Olav Eide Svendsen
  • Silje Skarpeid
  • Sophie Haseldonckx
  • Bjørn Egil Ludvigsen

FORCE seminars have previously been fully booked with waiting lists so you are encouraged to sign up as soon as you know you will attend.

Participation fees:
FORCE members: NOK 1500,-
Non-members: NOK 3000,-
University/Students: NOK 500,-


Important information:

You can register as a FORCE member and pay "FORCE member" price if you are an employee of a member company.
All FORCE member companies are listed here.

Payment is made online by credit card or VIPPS. Please note that no refunds will be given after you have signed up.
If you for any reason cannot attend the workshop, you are welcome to send a representative, just inform Linn Smerud as soon as there are changes. 

If you need to cancel your registration, please use the confirmation e-mail you received when you signed up.

If the seminar/webinar is cancelled, your payment will be refunded. 

For other questions, please contact Linn Smerud or Tone Mydland.


Norwegian Petroleum Directorate org.no: 870917732

Updated: 31/10/2023

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